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02696 Projections of the resource requirements for promoting and distributing microbicides Kumaranayake, Lilani* Introduction The identification of the resource requirements for microbicides have focused on product development. There is limited discussion on the future resources required to promote and distribute microbicides. For different assumptions about the unit cost of a microbicide, this study estimates the resource requirements associated with adding a microbicide to existing prevention interventions in 73 low and middle-income countries. These are compared with estimates the associated HIV impact and economic benefits of the widespread use a 60% efficacious microbicide Design Mathematical and economic modeling using demographic, behavioral, epidemiological and economic data. Methods The analysis builds upon the framework used in the Rockefeller Public Health Impact analysis in 2002. For different assumptions about the unit costs of a microbicide, and estimates of the national level incremental costs of promoting microbicides and incorporating their distribution into existing HIV prevention interventions, estimates of the overall distribution costs of microbicide distribution are obtained. The findings are compared with updated estimates of the projected impact on HIV transmission of the use of a 60% efficacous microbicide by inconsistent and non-condom users and the associated health care costs avoided and productivity savings gained. Results The analysis is ongoing, and will be completed by January 2004. Key findings will be projections of the future promotion and distribution costs of microbicide and a comparison of the costs and benefits of widespread microbicide distribution. Conclusion As part of preparations for ensuring widespread microbicide access, it is important that adequate financial resources are committed to microbicide promotion and distribution. Dr Lilani Kumaranayake |
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